Greetings all. Our good friend Tom Bonier dropped by today to talk about some of the data we are seeing from this historic and just remarkable election. Consider our data-rich discussion to be a complement to the video and written analysis we released this morning:
I encourage you to watch our entire presentation when you can. It’s full of meaty insights into this election, and we even offer some early thoughts about what it all means for the upcoming Presidential election.
Here are some of the charts and graphs from our presentation today.
First, note that 2026 was our best election - general or midterm - since 1974. Also note that the last three times we hit 52% or more in a midterm - 1990, 2008, 2018 - we went on to win the next Presidential election and take the Presidency away from Republicans.
Our gains across the country were broad and deep, and simply Democrats have much more power today, and MAGA far, far less. We will be updating this chart as races get called:
Our candidates not only won all across the country they won by enormous margins in many cases, similar to what we saw in the November, 2025 elections. He’s a sample from some of the top House and Senate races. These margins are jawdropping:
By recent standards Democrats are likely to end up with an impressively large majority in the House:
Our elected leaders will now be representing tens of millions more people, a clear majority of the country, and remarkably only 18% of Americans will not have a Democratic Senator, Governor, or House member. Our reach will be far, far greater now, as will our power to make things better for people across the country and put things right.
At the beginning of this election cycle Democrats set out to expand their map, and we have. Our Presidential battleground map may look very, very different in 2028, as we hoped and fought for:
Our success was powered by very strong performance from young voters and voters of color. This is the vote history of Georgia, just released last night. Voters of color made up 35% of Georgia’s electorate in 2022. It was 41% in the 2026 election.
Using the NYT vote estimates Black voters voted more Democratic this time than in any recent election with the exceptions of Obama’s two Presidential elections:
According to the NYT data our performance with Hispanic voters was one of our best in the past thirty years (a very welcome sight):
According to this same NYT data young people voted more Democratic in the 2026 election than they have in any election in the last 30 years:
Yes, the voters who were getting written out of the American story by Trump voted to write themselves back in by kicking the rancid, reactionary racists out of power all across the country.
Finally, Tom takes us through some incredible stats about big turnout we saw with black voters throughout the South while also reminding us that we continue to see declines in Democratic registration across the country. It’s why we close out with an extended conversation about the need for Democrats to launch an intense national partisan voter registration drive - a new welcome wagon of sorts - and to use the new, expanded reach of our electeds to lock in the support of folks who voted Democratic this time. For many more people are identifying and voting Democratic than they have in many, many years. Now is the time to formally welcome them into the family and work to make them a core part of our new, emerging majority, particularly in the formally red states that Democrats have not been competitive in in years.
Here’s the latest party ID data from Gallup that Tom discusses. It is similar to that remarkable 56% Dem - 43% GOP national popular vote of this historic election. Our brand is stronger today than the internal Democratic Party chatter suggests:
Enjoy our deep dive into this remarkable election and congratulations again everyone. It is a new day, a better day, and so much more is possible for America again - thanks to all of you - Simon
