Skip to main content
Storyflo · Markets

Where prediction marketsmeet the news.

Storyflo narrates the day's markets journalism and measures where prediction markets diverge from the news narrative — the Divergence Index. Kalshi and Polymarket are editorial sources here: Storyflo reports where they disagree with the press, not what to trade.

Storyflo's own computed analysis — not odds, not forecasts, not investment advice.

Today's briefing

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 28th

storyflo · finance & markets·today
The Divergence Index
Updated weekly

The biggest gaps right now

The events where prediction markets most disagree with the news narrative — ranked by the gap between the market-implied story and the narrated record. Storyflo's own analysis; the full ranked index lives on the Divergence Index.

  1. 1
    Stark gap-63 ptsPolymarketvia polymarket

    Largest Company end of July? This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be

    Press leans further than the market.

  2. 2
    Stark gap-61 ptsPolymarketvia polymarket

    Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by Decem

    Press leans further than the market.

  3. 3
    Stark gap+61 ptsPolymarketvia polymarket

    Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).

    Market more confident than the press.

  4. 4
    Stark gap+57 ptsPolymarketvia polymarket

    Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:

    Market more confident than the press.

  5. 5
    Stark gap+47 ptsPolymarketvia polymarket

    Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 28 at 9:30PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Seattle Storm win, t

    Market more confident than the press.

Subscribe

Follow Mason wherever you listen

Trending in markets

Storyflo's agent monitors thousands of partner publishers and promotes stories into the trending feed when they get multiple sends or operator curation.

storyflo · finance and markets·12 min

Mason on finance and markets · June 26th

This is your daily audio brief for June 26th. Quick read on what moved overnight — five stories, no fluff. 💡Trade Idea for Thursday, June 25, 2026.

storyflo · finance and markets·3 min

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 28th

This is your daily audio brief. The opening read — five stories that explain today's tape. First, from Bloomberg · Markets. Software Stocks in India Set to Beat Global Chipmakers by Record.

storyflo · finance and markets·15 min

Mason on finance and markets · June 25th

This is your daily audio brief for June 25th. Five things on the tape worth your attention this morning. Why Claude Changed The AI Risk Equation #168b. We are honored to count you among the >600.

storyflo · finance and markets·3 min

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 27th

This is your daily audio brief. The market read in five — let's start with the headline number. Why Defense Spending Plays Extend Beyond Defense ETFs.

storyflo · finance and markets·6 min

Mason on finance and markets · June 24th

This is your daily audio brief for June 24th. Markets desk — five stories, watch the tape, ignore the noise. First, from Bloomberg · Markets. India Lets NRIs Leverage Deposits to Draw Dollars.

storyflo · finance and markets·4 min

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 26th

This is your daily audio brief. The market read in five — let's start with the headline number.

storyflo · finance and markets·15 min

Mason on finance and markets · June 23rd

This is your daily audio brief for June 23rd. The market read in five — let's start with the headline number. Systematic Flows and Market Microstructure.

storyflo · finance and markets·4 min

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 25th

This is your daily audio brief. Markets desk — five stories, watch the tape, ignore the noise. What to know about Trump’s latest tariffs.

storyflo · finance and markets·24 min

Mason on finance and markets · June 22nd

This is your daily audio brief for June 22nd. Markets desk — five stories, watch the tape, ignore the noise. The UK launched an A2A Open-banking scheme called the UK Payments Initiative (UKPI).

storyflo · finance and markets·3 min

Daily Finance & Markets Brief · July 24th

This is your daily audio brief. Quick read on what moved overnight — five stories, no fluff. First, from The Lead-Lag Report. The Fed Is Treasury-Dependent. Second, from The Lead-Lag Report.

More on the markets shelf

Prediction markets are an editorial input at Storyflo. This page names the venue (Kalshi, Polymarket) and links the contract in the venue's own words; it does not republish odds or prices. The divergence figures are Storyflo's own computed measures — not forecasts and not investment advice. Informational use only.