I can relate to aspects of this sentiment from a liberal 𝕏NFL data guy:
I am happy but like. Why did voters not do this two years ago. Nothing that has happened since has been surprising.
Though chaos is a baseline under Trump, I’d say specific outcomes over the last couple years were surprising, especially the Iran War and its resulting gas prices (A theoretical Republican value proposition is low gas prices). But I’m with the idea that the degree of electoral sentiment can be somewhat mysterious. In 2020, when our country was immersed in Covid misery and widespread unrest, this 2026 electoral result would have made about as much sense. But that election was close and this election is an absolute stomping.
The median voter, especially the midterm voter, is an older person who lives far away from me. Given where I reside, I have little insight into that individual beyond what I read in polls and see in ensuing elections. The sentiments about Trump that I’ve encountered in Bay Area real life, insofar as there is such a thing as “Bay Area real life,” remain largely unchanged since 2015. Then you learn that places like South Carolina suddenly feel quite differently.
There’s this impulse to reduce huge outcomes to one explanation but big events usually result from a perfect storm convergence of multiple factors. Gas prices will lose Republicans an election, but losing on this historic a level probably requires “Gas prices + Trump did X, Y and Z.”
Among the many outcomes out of this sea change election, I’m interested in the idea that AI data centers were a potentially huge issue for voters. I’m not making the case that results would be different without the AI topic, but the sudden salience of it impresses me. Tuesday delivered a complete, nationwide voter rejection of AI data centers. As someone whose relationship to AI technology is mostly, “I write 7,000 words a week, so I appreciate how much better AI search is than traditional Google,” Tuesday’s anti-data Center revolt is a loud indicator that few people feel similarly about how AI has impacted their lives.
Quoting Semafor this morning:
American voters roundly rejected data centers nearly anywhere they were on the ballot Tuesday, a rebuke sure to rattle investors already growing skittish about the AI buildout.
Residents in more than 30 localities across nine states voted for moratoriums, outright bans, and other measures, some in direct response to specific projects underway.
I first talked about this topic back when Jason Kelce, of all people, made a urine-soaked advertisement about it for Liquid Death. Kelce, or his team, jumped on an emergent popular trend. However you feel about the ad or data centers, those instincts did indeed match the public temperature. Sophie Cunningham further validated the Klosterman prophecy that she’s headed for a future vice presidency with 𝕏her anti-data-center stance.
Data centers are big business in Texas, but probably not anymore. Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa, who defeated Greg Abbott, supports an immediate moratorium on new data-center development. Given voter trends, it’s hard to see many Texas politicians from either party fighting her on this trajectory. As former HOS guest 𝕏Nikolai Yakovenko put it:
All the datacenter bans passed 🗳️ The chips will go elsewhere. Kazakhstan, Paraguay, Canada, Malaysia, who knows maybe even Europe
This is relevant to my backyard, despite how far I live from relevant elections. When Trump won in 2024, it accelerated this AI-boom in San Francisco, arguably and ironically the most anti-Trump area. Subjectively, I kept hearing from neighborhood friends about decadent Great Gatsby-esque office Christmas parties at their respective tech companies (I’m in an area where nearly every school family has a parent who’s an engineer, product manager, or some other job connected to the industry).
When I put it like that, I guess it tracks that the AI boom didn’t exactly endear itself to the larger populace. The idea of a bunch of techies playing with money made from a technology that gets you fired or potentially extinct as a species is…less than charismatic. Still, even if I can make retroactive sense of this backlash sentiment, it’s not like I ever would have independently assumed a new term like “data center” would greatly motivate voters. The only people I personally know who talk about data centers work on projects that build them. And yet, you see the results and the related polling. An AI strategist 𝕏quotes the national NBC exit poll:
23% of voters said that AI and data centers were "crucial" to their vote in NBC exit polls. 56% said it was a "crucial or major" factor!
If that’s even close to true, it’s a pretty remarkable outcome. How many people had even heard of “data centers” three years ago?
People hate AI, even if they laugh at Gap Band memes made using AI. It’s the future, but apparently few people are positively compelled by that vision. I used to think a lot of the AI backlash was restricted to urban professionals, but no, this is total, across the board. Nobody is going to run a campaign anytime soon on touting the wonders of this technology.
There are huge implications to this reaction. I am insufficiently equipped to game out those implications. I am mostly making the observation that the American public is decisive on a topic I couldn’t have envisioned would hold much sway in, say, Kansas. “Everybody I know uses AI” is my personal “Everybody I know voted for McGovern.” I’m not surprised that the Trump GOP collapsed. I am surprised by how AI tech got rejected even more thoroughly.
