Morning all. As the election picks up expect at least three posts/events from us each day - 1) my morning post 2) our new Ad and Video Roundup around 12:15pm ET 3) A live event usually between 1 and 230pm ET with a recording sent out soon after. I’m pleased with the response we’ve gotten to our new Ad and Video Roundup. It’s another great way to see and understand what’s happening in the battleground in these closing - and exciting - weeks.
On Friday the 2026 Election enters a new and critical phase - people are going to start voting in-person. As a matter of messaging and narrative it is very important that we make the story of early voting in every state “that wow Democrats are voting in big numbers.” Driving the early vote not only increases our overall turnout and makes it harder for them to cheat but it is also contributes to the impression of our momentum, of our strength, and of the resilience of our democratic systems. To have the election we all want to have we to need to win the early vote, bigly, and that process begins this Friday. Need all hands on deck now. Build your personal early vote program. Understand how it works in your state and get ready to work your networks, organizations, family and make sure they join you in voting early, Day 1 if possible. For all intents and purposes we can win this election in October - and that should be our goal.
In another remarkable victory for the pro-democracy legal warriors last night the Supreme Court rejected Trump’s ridiculous mall ballot scheme…….
But we know they are not finished with their election fuckery so I encourage you to sign up to be a state party Democracy Protector and support our New Battlefield/Election Protection program. USA Today has a terrific overview of our project in today’s newspaper (free paywall):
As does the LA Times:
In fact their efforts to “red wave” the 2026 election through fake and manipulated polling, as they did successfully in 2022, has begun. In the last few days five right-aligned pollsters have dropped twelve polls in eleven different battleground states. Note the lack of overlap - as if it was all coordinated - and that it is if a switch just got turned on - which it did:
4 of these 5 pollsters - co/efficient, Insider Advantage, Quantus, Trafalgar - also participated in a polling op against Mikie Sherrill last November. In the final days of the election they all had her race close, “tightening.” She won by 14.
In my recent talk with Tom Bonier about “red waving” and manipulating polling I suggested that we were likely to see a replay of their previous efforts this year in the Senate races. And here we are……
I am working with the team at the state parties’ New Battlefield project to help folks in our family become of what’s happening so we can effectively counter it in the coming days…..
New NYT Poll Has Dems In Strong Position - A few excerpts from a very encouraging new national poll:
Dems are now more trusted on all the issues that matter to voters:
More…..
Voters see Republicans broadly as more extreme, more elitist and more corrupt than Democrats, according to the poll. And while voters continue to have doubts about both parties, they aligned more with the Democratic Party on both cultural and economic matters than the Republican Party in the survey…..
There were indications that the Democrats were winning back groups that they had lost ground with in the 2024 presidential race. The current Democratic strength in the battle for Congress was being driven heavily in the poll by younger voters (those under 30 favored Democrats by 35 percentage points), Hispanic voters (43 points) and independent voters (23 points) — all groups the party had seen sagging support from two years ago.
Mr. Trump’s approval rating among voters under 30 stands at an abysmal 18 percent.
This would be a good time to connect to the Hopium Daily Mantra:
There is nothing Trump and MAGA wants more than for us to be fighting with each other and not with him. We have one job now - elect as many of these wonderful candidates running for the House and Senate as we can. It’s where our focus must be. It’s a year of opportunity for us across the country. We must seize it, together.
Trump called AI safety concerns a “hoax.”
Bloomberg writes today about an emerging American munitions crisis and the AP writes about what could become a full blown global energy supply crisis in the coming days.
Sabotage has taken most of the Dutch national railway system off-line today, and a Russian ship fired at a Danish helicopter. In the days after Kushner and Witkoff kissed Putin’s ass in Moscow we are seeing signs of Russian escalation throughout Europe.
In related *The Trump family in enabling global corruption/selling out America *news the Russian oligarchs paid for Trump Jrs wedding story has metastasized into a major global scandal; the New Yorker has a brutal look at Jared Kusher’s corrupt global dealings; and in the Atlantic Anne Applebaum has published “Empire of Grift: Far-right ideologues have transformed American foreign policy into a tool of private gain and antidemocratic reaction.”
Finally, the American economy has hit what has historically been considered a danger zone:
Yes, my friends, it is that time…..
Note that in any of our campaigns that aggregate donations you can tailor your contribution to a chosen subset of the candidates or even a single candidate by clicking on the “customize amounts” link just above the “$25, $50….” part of the ActBlue page.
**Our Winning The House Campaign **- Donate | $1,258,100 raised, $1,250,000 goal (new stretch goal) | Donate to all twelve of our initial wave of House challengers with a single contribution split twelve ways | Get to know Jamie Ager (NC-11), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Rebecca Cooke (WI-03), Elaine Luria (VA-02), Sean McCann (MI-04), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), Chaz Molder (TN-05), Jonathan Nez (AZ-02), Janelle Stelson (PA-10), Shannon Taylor (VA-01), and Sarah Trone Garriott (IA-03) by watching our recently recorded Hopium interviews.
Friends, if these twelve courageous candidates win, the House will flip, even with Callais and their rancid mid-decade redistricting. So eyes on the prize here everyone - *and yes my friends, this morning we hit our very ambitious goal, weeks before the election! Amazing stuff everyone! *
Winning The Senate - $922,100 raised, $1,500,000 goal - Donate | This fund splits a single donation to our six candidates must likely to flip a Senate seat this November - Sherrod Brown (OH), Roy Cooper (NC), Troy Jackson (ME), Mary Peltola (AK), James Talarico (TX), and Josh Turek (IA). These are the majority makes in the Senate this cycle.
Our working total includes what we’ve raised for these six so far through direct donations to their campaigns. You can watch our interviews with each of these exciting candidates and/or contribute directly to any of them here.
**Winning The House - The Second Wave Fund **- Donate | $401,100 raised, $500,000 goal - We’ve launched a second House fund, one supporting candidates who’ve emerged from late, primaries and need a bit more help.
Our list now features Rebecca Bennett (NJ-07), Bob Brooks (PA-07), Cait Conley (NY-17), Johnny Garcia (TX-35), Bob Harvie (PA-01), Dr. Richard Pan (CA-06), Denise Powell (NE-02), Bobby Pulido (TX-15), Manny Rutinel (CO-8), Dr. Amish Shah (AZ-01), Randy Villegas (CA-22), and Marni von Wilpert (CA-48).
A donation to the Second Wave Fund is split evenly among these twelve, and more as other worthy candidates emerge from their primaries. Our total above includes money we’ve raised for directly for each candidate. You can watch interviews with these great candidates here.
Winning The House - The Third Wave Fund - Donate | $48,100 raised, $500,000 goal | We’ve launched this new fund for candidates who have emerged even later from primaries and need a bit more help as we work to expand our map and go deeper into tough terrain. Our initial list - and it may grow - is Christina Hines (MI-10), Lindsay James (IA-02), Jake Johnson (MN-01), Jessica Killin (CO-5), Nancy Lacore (SC-01), and Brian Poindexter (OH-7).
Support The State Parties’ Election Protection Program - Donate | $47,900 raised, $50,000 goal | We’ve launched a new, targeted fundraising campaign to help get the new election protection program of the State Democratic Parties, one this community helped develop, off the ground.
The “Winning” link in each state brings you to a page that includes interviews and more information about the opportunities we have in each state.
Winning Alaska (New) - Donate | $150,000 goal | Our Winning Alaska campaign splits a contribution evenly among Mary Peltola for Senate, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for governor, and the Alaska Democratic Party and its great Chair, Eric Croft.
**Winning Georgia ***- *Donate | $39,700 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Georgia campaign splits a contribution three ways among Senator Jon Ossoff, gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms, and the Georgia Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Charlie Bailey.
Winning Iowa - Donate | $47,500 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Iowa campaign splits a contribution three ways among Josh Turek for Senate, our gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand, and to the Iowa Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Rita Hart.
**Winning Maine **- Donate | $87,600 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Maine campaign splits a contribution evenly among Troy Jackson for Senate, Hannah Pingree for Governor, and the Maine Democratic Party and its battle-tested Chair, Charlie Dingman.
Winning North Carolina - Donate | $68,000 raised, $200,000 goal | Our Winning North Carolina campaign splits a contribution evenly among Roy Cooper for Senate, Anita Earls for the state Supreme Court, and the NC Democratic Party and it’s ass-kicking chair, Anderson Clayton.
Winning Ohio - Donate | $205,100 raised, $250,000 goal | Our Winning Ohio campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton-Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party and its terrific Chair, Kathleen Clyde.
Winning Wisconsin - Donate | $24,100 raised, $150,000 goal - Our Winning Wisconsin campaign splits contributions evenly among David Crowley for Governor and the Wisconsin Democratic Party (and its terrific Chair Devin Remiker) and it’s legislative victory fund. Our community has invested heavily in getting helping Wisconsin Democrats flip both state legislative chambers and finally get a trifecta. Now we must finish the job!
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Keep working hard all. We have a country to save, and elections to win all across the country, together! - Simon
