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What we all witnessed on Tuesday night was a historically large wave election for Democrats — one that reminded me most of the post-Watergate 1974 midterms because it was so clearly a rejection of the vision and direction of the party in power.
Below I answered a whole bunch of your questions from the INSANE week that was. If I didn’t get to your question, make sure to tune in to my “Ask Chris Anything” livestream on my YouTube channel at 1 pm eastern!
As always, these are real questions from real subscribers!
Let’s open the mail.
Q: How surprised were you by Tuesday (0=“I foresaw it all”; 10=“stunned”)? As a Democrat and a pessimist, I’m a 6; I’m guessing you’re a 2.
A: I think I am a 3.
I felt pretty strongly that it would be a good-to-very-good night for Democrats — based on ALL of the data that pointed in that direction.
I even made a videobefore the polls closed making that case:
I believe in data. It’s not perfect. But it’s a heck of a lot stronger ground to stand on then, uh, vibes.
And the data was SO clear.
That said, I thought the top end for Democrats was 54-ish seats in the Senate and 245-250 in the House. They are going to get to 55 (at least) and probably 56 in the Senate and between 255-265 in the House.
That is STUNNING.
The Senate races that surprised me most were South Carolina — I thought Annie Andrews would lose 52-48 to Darline Graham — and Mississippi where I thought it would be a good night for Scott Colom if he lost by 5-7 points.
Q: It appears to me, that there were at least 2 to 3 more Senate seats that could have been captured by the Democrats if they had fielded better candidates or invested more money. Will the Democrats adopt to a fifty state strategy or will they stay with be happy where they are?
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