I left legacy media to build something different: independent, honest political analysis with no corporate or partisan agenda.
I call balls and strikes ⚾ — because politics needs referees, not cheerleaders.
If you want clear, concise analysis that cuts through the noise, subscribe today. You’ll get what actually matters—not just what people want you to hear. 🎯
Subscribe now
Don’t forget to like and subscribe to “Super Tuesdays” — the weekly podcast from me and Chuck Todd!
Earlier this week moved the Kansas Senate race to “toss up.”
Explaining the move, Senate and Governors Editor Jessica Taylor wrote:
Kansas — Democrats’ Cinderella story of the cycle — has jumped up in our ratings at a rapid and surprising pace. We shifted it from Likely Republican into the Lean Republican column just two weeks ago. Trump won the state by 16 points in 2024, so it remains a heavy lift for Democrats. But there is perhaps a perfect confluence of events happening: a stronger-than-expected Democratic challenger who has a moderate message and credentials; an incumbent who was slow to wake up to the real threat both his opponent and the environment pose; and erosion in Trump’s support on the ground rooted in the agriculture economy’s struggles over high fuel and fertilizer prices and distrust over beef imports.
“Trump won the state by 16 points in 2024.”
That sentence triggered an interesting thought experiment between myself and a GOP friend of mine about whether or not a) Kansas is *really *in play for Democrats and b) if it is, then why are we not talking about MASSIVE House gains for Democrats nationally too?
Let’s dig into the numbers.
This is a post for paid subscribers only. Not one yet? It’s $6 a month or $60 for the entire year! You can learn more about the benefits of subscribing—and the work your support makes possible—here.
Subscribe now
Read more
