Morning all. Another busy day here today. A new interview with Mary Peltola is coming later this morning, and we are hosting Charlie Bailey, the terrific Chair of the Georgia Democratic Party, for a live discussion at 230pm ET.
As we’ve been discussing as we got closer to Election Day things were likely to get worse for Trump and the Rs - and they are.
Headlines like this are not helping them:
While it’s come down a little in recent weeks gas is 60+ cents a gallon higher today than in July:
In FiftyPlusOne’s generic ballot we are now firmly over 50%, our lead is growing, and you can see in these trendlines how voters are breaking to us now:
This data is very consistent with the Gallup Party ID data we’ve been gawking at all week. Note like the generic ballot we are at 50% here too:
Yesterday the addled, white supremacist, titanic f-ck up got his worst major poll of his 2nd term, this one from Pew, one of the most respected pollsters out there. 30%!!!!! baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
In a new poll by Politico only 48% of Trump 2024 voters say their local candidates should align with Trump. 48%. Just wow.
In polling these past few weeks Republicans do not have clear, definitive leads in any battleground Senate race, including in Kansas and Nebraska. Democrats, on the other hand, do have polls showing us winning everywhere in Alaska, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and now Kansas too. Here are two new snapshots from key Senate battlegrounds. First, for my talk yesterday OH Dem Chair Kathleen Clyde I pulled together recent Senate in Ohio. It’s very encouraging:
The second snapshot is a new Washington Post poll of Maine that looks a like other polls we’ve seen there in recent weeks. Susan Collins has a very high hill to climb, and she is running out of time:
Finally the most significant trend we are seeing in the early Early Vote so far is a clear spike in voting from voters of color, * an ominous development for the Rs*. Here’s today’s national data from TargetEarly:
If you haven’t gotten to my weekly comprehensive overview of the election yet it will be good weekend viewing or listening - The Battlefield Keeps Eroding For The Rs, We’re On The Cusp Of Having The Election We All Want To Have, And Now We Need To Close Strong And Finish The Job.
Let’s end our morning time together with our new 2026 Election daily mantra, borrowed from the great Anderson Clayton:
Elections are decided in November, but they’re won in October
And yes, my friends, that means it is time to go…..
Three things you can do in addition to supporting our intrepid candidates and state parties:
Become an
Early Vote Championin your networks, communities, and organizations.Sign up to become a
Democracy Protectortoo. Our next training is this Wednesday, Oct 14th at 8pm ET.Email photos of your electoral work or physical act of voting to community@hopiumchronicles.com or via links on our daily chat. We want to start showcasing them here on Hopium.
**Our Winning The House - Stake In The Ground Fund **- Donate | $1,571,100 raised, $2,000,000 goal | Watch interviews with all twelve candidates |This is our #1 fund, updated now with new intel to include the twelve most competitive races where money and volunteers are most needed (largely due to the expense of the district, and understanding now where Republicans have decided to stand and fight).
Our * Stake In The Ground Fund* now includes Jamie Ager (NC-11), Rebecca Bennett (NJ-7), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Cait Conley (NY-17), Sarah Trone Garriott (IA-03), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), Christina Hines (MI-10), Brian Poindexter (OH-7), Bobby Pulido (TX-15), Manny Rutinel (CO-8), and Randy Villegas (CA-22).
If we win these twelve races the House flips - period. So let’s get on with the flippin’!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Our Winning The Senate Fund - Donate | $1,359,100 raised, $1,500,000 goal | Watch interviews with all six Senate flippers | This fund splits a single donation to our six candidates must likely to flip a Senate seat this November - Sherrod Brown (OH), Roy Cooper (NC), Troy Jackson (ME), Mary Peltola (AK), James Talarico (TX), and Josh Turek (IA). This is the team that is going to flip the Senate people!
**Our New Growing Our House Majority Fund **- Donate | $612,100 raised, $1,000,000 goal | Watch interviews with all eighteen candidates | We’ve combined our Second and Third Waves Funds and added some candidates from our OG Winning The House Fund in a new fund we are calling Growing The House Majority. The idea is simple - we win the House with our first House fund. We grow our majority with this one.
This fund now splits a contribution evenly among 18 candidates - Bob Brooks (PA-07), Rebecca Cooke (WI-03), Elaine Luria (VA-02), Sean McCann (MI-04), Johnny Garcia (TX-35), Bob Harvie (PA-01), Lindsay James (IA-02), Jake Johnson (MN-01), Jessica Killin (CO-5), Nancy Lacore (SC-01), Chaz Molder (TN-05), Jonathan Nez (AZ-02), Dr. Richard Pan (CA-06), Denise Powell (NE-02), Dr. Amish Shah (AZ-01), Janelle Stelson (PA-10), Shannon Taylor (VA-01), and Marni von Wilpert (CA-48).
Support The State Parties’ Election Protection Program - Donate | $98,700 raised, $100,000 new stretch goal | We’ve launched a new, targeted fundraising campaign to help get the new election protection program of the State Democratic Parties, one this community helped develop, off the ground.
A reminder that the maximum that a donor can contribute to any Federal candidate for the general election is $3,500, however that money is donated.
Winning Alaska - Donate | $14,700 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Alaska campaign splits a contribution evenly among Mary Peltola for Senate, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for governor, and the Alaska Democratic Party and its great Chair, Eric Croft.
**Winning Georgia ***- *Donate | $47,900 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Georgia campaign splits a contribution three ways among Senator Jon Ossoff, gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms, and the Georgia Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Charlie Bailey.
Winning Iowa - Donate | $61,100 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Iowa campaign splits a contribution three ways among Josh Turek for Senate, our gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand, and to the Iowa Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Rita Hart.
**Winning Maine **- Donate | $96,600 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Maine campaign splits a contribution evenly among Troy Jackson for Senate, Hannah Pingree for Governor, and the Maine Democratic Party and its battle-tested Chair, Charlie Dingman.
Winning North Carolina - Donate | $73,900 raised, $200,000 goal | Our Winning North Carolina campaign splits a contribution evenly among Roy Cooper for Senate, Anita Earls for the state Supreme Court, and the NC Democratic Party and it’s ass-kicking chair, Anderson Clayton.
Winning Ohio - Donate | $230,100 raised, $250,000 goal | Our Winning Ohio campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton-Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party and its terrific Chair, Kathleen Clyde.
Winning Wisconsin - Donate | $36,900 raised, $150,000 goal - Our Winning Wisconsin campaign splits contributions evenly among David Crowley for Governor and the Wisconsin Democratic Party (and its terrific Chair Devin Remiker) and it’s legislative victory fund. Our community has invested heavily in getting helping Wisconsin Democrats flip both state legislative chambers and finally get a trifecta. Now we must finish the job!
Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - Donate | $694,100 raised, $750,000 goal | Join our campaign that has helped expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, all now central battlegrounds in the 2026 election | Contribute to all five state parties with one contribution split evenly among these five critical battlegrounds | Catch interviews with the five intrepid state chairs leading their troops into battle this year - will get you fired up!
Finally, self-report all the good trouble you are making each day in our paid subscriber chat below.
Keep working hard all. For we have a country to save, and elections to win all across the country, together! - Simon
