Morning all. It’s a big day today - the last day of the last quarter of the 2026 election. Decisions will be made in the coming days based on these quarterly fundraising totals. Candidates who’ve raised a lot of money, and have strong polling, may see less ads, as the other side moves on. Those with who look more vulnerable may see the attacks on them increase, making it more likely they lose. So this is an important day, one of the most important of the entire election cycle.
I have a simple appeal today - spend two-thirds of whatever you have left to spend today. Leave the rest for opportunistic support - as the final battlefield clarifies - for mid-October.
I throw a lot of data at you each day. Let’s now look at two bits of data that remind us just how much 2026 has become a year of opportunity for us.
The generic ballot - will you vote Dem or GOP this November - has gotten officially into big wave territory in recent days. Here’s a selection of generic ballot polls over the last two weeks - all are in double digits, big wave territory.
Next, here are the recent polls showing our battleground Senate candidate ahead by 5 points or more, outside of margin of error. All real, credible polls:
Here is the list of battleground Senate polls showing a Republican ahead by 5 or more, outside margin of error:
………………..
It’s blank. For there are no polls showing a Republican ahead outside of margin of error in any battleground Senate race.
Yes, 2026 is a year of opportunity for us, and now we must seize it, together, everyone!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
To get inspired watch a few of our recent candidate interviews with our remarkable field of candidates this cycle. I promise they will get you fired up, and ready to rumble!
Cait Conley(NY-17)Paige Cognetti(PA-08)Bob Brooks(PA-07)Jamie Ager(NC-11)Christina Hines(MI-10)Jake Johnson(MN-01)Brian Poindexter(OH-07)Jessica Killin(CO-05)Dr. Amish Shah(AZ-01)Lindsay James(IA-02)Nancy Lacore(SC-01)Bobby Pulido(TX-15)And
Roy Cooper(NC),Aaron Ford(NV),David Crowley(WI)
Josh Turek joins us today live at 3pm. Be sure to join us!
And yes my friends, it is that time! Time to end this quarter Hopium strong, time to put our candidates in a place where they can win, and time to…..
**Our Winning The House - Stake In The Ground Fund **- Donate | $1,466,100 raised, $2,000,000 goal (new stretch goal) | Watch interviews with all twelve candidates |This is our #1 fund, updated now with new intel to include the twelve most competitive races where money and volunteers are most needed (largely due to the expense of the district, and understanding now where Republicans have decided to spend and contest).
If we win these twelve races the House flips - period.
Our * Stake In The Ground Fund* now includes Jamie Ager (NC-11), Rebecca Bennett (NJ-7), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Cait Conley (NY-17), Sarah Trone Garriott (IA-03), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), Christina Hines (MI-10), Brian Poindexter (OH-7), Bobby Pulido (TX-15), Manny Rutinel (CO-8), and Randy Villegas (CA-22).
Our Winning The Senate Fund - $1,184,100 raised, $1,500,000 goal - Donate | This fund splits a single donation to our six candidates must likely to flip a Senate seat this November - Sherrod Brown (OH), Roy Cooper (NC), Troy Jackson (ME), Mary Peltola (AK), James Talarico (TX), and Josh Turek (IA).
These are the majority makers in the Senate this cycle.
You can watch our interviews with each of these exciting candidates and/or contribute directly to any of them here.
**Our New Growing Our House Majority Fund **- Donate | $555,100 raised, $1,000,000 goal | Watch interviews with all eighteen candidates | We’ve combined our Second and Third Waves Funds and added some candidates from our OG Winning The House Fund in a new fund we are calling Growing The House Majority. The idea is simple. We win the House with the first fund. We grow our majority with this one.
This fund now splits a contribution evenly among 18 candidates - Bob Brooks (PA-07), Rebecca Cooke (WI-03), Elaine Luria (VA-02), Sean McCann (MI-04), Johnny Garcia (TX-35), Bob Harvie (PA-01), Lindsay James (IA-02), Jake Johnson (MN-01), Jessica Killin (CO-5), Nancy Lacore (SC-01), Chaz Molder (TN-05), Jonathan Nez (AZ-02), Dr. Richard Pan (CA-06), Denise Powell (NE-02), Dr. Amish Shah (AZ-01), Janelle Stelson (PA-10), Shannon Taylor (VA-01), and Marni von Wilpert (CA-48).
Support The State Parties’ Election Protection Program - Donate | $79,300 raised, $100,000 new stretch goal | We’ve launched a new, targeted fundraising campaign to help get the new election protection program of the State Democratic Parties, one this community helped develop, off the ground.
Winning Alaska (New) - Donate | $1,690 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Alaska campaign splits a contribution evenly among Mary Peltola for Senate, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for governor, and the Alaska Democratic Party and its great Chair, Eric Croft.
**Winning Georgia ***- *Donate | $43,100 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Georgia campaign splits a contribution three ways among Senator Jon Ossoff, gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms, and the Georgia Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Charlie Bailey.
Winning Iowa - Donate | $51,100 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Iowa campaign splits a contribution three ways among Josh Turek for Senate, our gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand, and to the Iowa Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Rita Hart.
**Winning Maine **- Donate | $89,100 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Maine campaign splits a contribution evenly among Troy Jackson for Senate, Hannah Pingree for Governor, and the Maine Democratic Party and its battle-tested Chair, Charlie Dingman.
Winning North Carolina - Donate | $71,900 raised, $200,000 goal | Our Winning North Carolina campaign splits a contribution evenly among Roy Cooper for Senate, Anita Earls for the state Supreme Court, and the NC Democratic Party and it’s ass-kicking chair, Anderson Clayton.
Winning Ohio - Donate | $210,100 raised, $250,000 goal | Our Winning Ohio campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton-Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party and its terrific Chair, Kathleen Clyde.
Winning Wisconsin - Donate | $26,400 raised, $150,000 goal - Our Winning Wisconsin campaign splits contributions evenly among David Crowley for Governor and the Wisconsin Democratic Party (and its terrific Chair Devin Remiker) and it’s legislative victory fund. Our community has invested heavily in getting helping Wisconsin Democrats flip both state legislative chambers and finally get a trifecta. Now we must finish the job!
Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - Donate | $675,100 raised, $750,000 goal | Join our campaign that has helped expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, all now central battlegrounds in the 2026 election | Contribute to all five state parties with one contribution split evenly among these five critical battlegrounds | Catch interviews with the five intrepid state chairs leading their troops into battle this year - will get you fired up!
Friends, we’ve hit out $100,000 goal for home stretch funds for Hopium and our work. So grateful, so thankful to all of you who have contributed.!!! I am retiring the fund for now and will get back to working hard for our candidates and party committees!
Finally, self-report all the good trouble you are making each day in our paid subscriber chat below.
Keep working hard all. For we have a country to save, and elections to win all across the country, together! - Simon
