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This is it: My LAST ranking of the 10 Senate seats most likely to flip party control in six(!) days time.
It’s been a looooong journey. But as we near the end, one thing is very clear: The Senate map is heavily tilted in Democrats favor. What once seemed like a long shot — a Democratic Senate majority — is now very much within reach.
In fact, the odds of a Democratic majority have sky-rocketed to 67% as of Wednesday morning!
(Note: Polymarket sponsors some of my Substack content. Do with that what you will!)
While I (still) think that overstates Democrats’ chances slightly, the map does continue to erode for Republicans. South Carolina is a toss-up now; Mississippi is a real race too.
Below are my top 10. Again, these races are ranked by the likelihood they flip parties on November 3. Meaning the #1 ranked race is the most likely to switch.
This post — and ALL future of my 2028 presidential and Senate rankings — will be behind the paywall. This is the sort of insider information and analysis that I believe distinguishes me in the world of independent journalism.
