Trump Loses Big In Brazil And Serbia, More Encouraging Early Vote Data, Adam Hamilton Joins Us Live Today At 130pm ET
Morning all.

Morning all.
Morning all. In what has been a terrible month of declining poll numbers, a deteriorating battlefield, soaring inflation, crappy job numbers, Brent crude hitting $116 a barrel, a widening war in the Middle East, an orgy of scandals, and escalating internal infighting, our failed, venal, sundowning leader got lots more bad news last night - his allies in Brazil and Serbia got beat, and Marina Corina Machado returned to Venezuela to rapturous crowds.
These last twenty fours have been some of the most important in our grand battle against MAGA and the global right since Hopium was founded. Here we take the wins when they come and these were big, consequential wins, fellow patriots. Big consequential wins for the global democracy movement, and enormous, deflating, and consequential losses for Trump eight days before his own election.
The people of Hungary, Serbia, and Brazil have done their jobs this year. Now it is our turn brothers and sisters. Let’s use this energy to drive the early vote this week, run up the score, and win these midterms for as Anderson Clayton told us:
Elections may be decided in November, but they are won in October!
My Monday morning early vote update is that the strong performance we’ve seen with young, Black, and Hispanic/Latino voters continues today. It appears that these important members of our coalition understand the assignment:
For more on what we are seeing in the early vote be sure to read my new deep dive here:
A few days ago the right wing site Real Clear Politics released polls in 8 House races in deep red places. Democrats lead in 7 of them!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PA 8: Cognetti 52, Bresnahan 48 (Cognetti +4)
TX 35: Garcia 51, De La Cruz 49 (Garcia +2)
MT 1: Forstag 50, Flint 46 (Forstag +4)
FL 14: Castor 48, Beltran 43 (Castor +5)
MO 2: Wellman 51, Wagner 46 (Wellman +5)
NC 11: Ager 56, Balkcom 43 (Ager +13)
*AR 2: Hill 52 (GOP), Jones 48 (Hill +4)*AZ 2: Nez 50, Crane 48 (Nez +2)
MI 7: Lawrence 53, Barrett 45 (Lawrence +8)
IA 2nd: James 50, Mitchell 47 (James +3)
I cannot even imagine how this played in Republican circles. In keeping with Halloween we can safely describe this as bloodbath territory for them, and a reminder that in the closing days of the election Trump is campaigning in and Republicans are spending in Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, and South Carolina:
Yes, the desperate, impulsive, Idiot-In-Chief really attacked Lisa Murkowski yesterday over her very public opposition to his ridiculous effort to steal the Alaska Senate seat. Thanks Donald!
The backlash to the Trump-backed vile ad run by Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio continues as the Cleveland Plain Dealer broke its neutrality rules and came out swinging for Amy Acton yesterday:
Let’s end with this video of our great candidate, Bobby Pulido, campaigning this weekend, South Texas style:
Yes, fellow patriots, it is that time……time to….
There are three things you can do today in addition to supporting our intrepid candidates and state parties:
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Democracy Protectortoo. Our next training is Wednesday at 10pm ET/7pm PT.Dive into our
amazing, expanding libraryof interviews with our battleground candidates, state party leaders, and thought leaders like Rep. Adam Smith, ASDC President Jane Kleeb, and Harvard’s John Della Volpe. So much good and timely stuff in here for your weekend viewing and listening pleasure!
Winning The Senate Fund - Donate | $1,593,100 raised, $2,000,000 new* stretch* goal | Watch interviews with these Senate flippers | This fund splits a single donation to our seven candidates must likely to flip a Senate seat this November - Sherrod Brown (OH), Roy Cooper (NC), Adam Hamilton (KS), Troy Jackson (ME), Mary Peltola (AK), James Talarico (TX), and Josh Turek (IA).
This is the team that’s going to flip the Senate people. Note that on 10/9 we expanded this fund to include Adam Hamilton - yes much is possible for us this year!
**Winning The House - Stake In The Ground Fund **- Donate | $1,659,100 raised, $2,000,000 goal | Watch interviews with all twelve candidates | This is our #1 fund, updated now with new intel to include the twelve most competitive races where money and volunteers are most needed (largely due to the expense of the district, and understanding now where Republicans have decided to stand and fight).
Our * Stake In The Ground Fund* now includes Jamie Ager (NC-11), Rebecca Bennett (NJ-7), Christina Bohannan (IA-01), Paige Cognetti (PA-08), Cait Conley (NY-17), Sarah Trone Garriott (IA-03), Jo Mendoza (AZ-06), Christina Hines (MI-10), Brian Poindexter (OH-7), Bobby Pulido (TX-15), Manny Rutinel (CO-8), and Randy Villegas (CA-22).
If we win these twelve races the House flips - period. So let’s get on with the flippin’ people!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Winning Alaska - Donate | $31,400 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Alaska Fund splits a contribution evenly among Mary Peltola for Senate, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for governor, and the Alaska Democratic Party and its great Chair, Eric Croft. Help Mary Peltola and the Alaska Dems fight back against Trump’s ridiculous attempt to steal this Senate seat!
Winning Iowa - Donate | $86,500 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Iowa campaign splits a contribution three ways among Josh Turek for Senate, our gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand, and to the Iowa Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Rita Hart.
**Winning Maine **- Donate | $110,900 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Maine campaign splits a contribution evenly among Troy Jackson for Senate, Hannah Pingree for Governor, and the Maine Democratic Party and its battle-tested Chair, Charlie Dingman.
Winning Ohio - Donate | $296,100 raised, $300,000 new stretch goal | Our Winning Ohio campaign splits contributions evenly among Sherrod Brown, the Acton-Pepper ticket, and the Ohio Democratic Party and its terrific Chair, Kathleen Clyde. Help Dr. Acton fight back against these vile attacks!
Winning Texas (New) - Donate | $10,800 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Texas campaign splits a contribution evenly among Gina Hinojosa, James Talarico, and the Texas Democratic Party and its impressive chair, Kendall Scudder.
**Growing Our House Majority Fund **- Donate | $664,100 raised, $1,000,000 goal | Watch interviews with all eighteen candidates | We’ve combined our Second and Third Waves Funds and added some candidates from our OG Winning The House Fund in a new fund we are calling Growing The House Majority. The idea is simple - we win the House with our first House fund. We grow our majority with this one.
This fund now splits a contribution evenly among 18 candidates - Bob Brooks (PA-07), Rebecca Cooke (WI-03), Elaine Luria (VA-02), Sean McCann (MI-04), Johnny Garcia (TX-35), Bob Harvie (PA-01), Lindsay James (IA-02), Jake Johnson (MN-01), Jessica Killin (CO-5), Nancy Lacore (SC-01), Chaz Molder (TN-05), Jonathan Nez (AZ-02), Dr. Richard Pan (CA-06), Denise Powell (NE-02), Dr. Amish Shah (AZ-01), Janelle Stelson (PA-10), Shannon Taylor (VA-01), and Marni von Wilpert (CA-48).
**Winning Georgia ***- *Donate | $67,100 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning Georgia campaign splits a contribution three ways among Senator Jon Ossoff, gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms, and the Georgia Democratic Party and it’s great Chair, Charlie Bailey.
Winning North Carolina - Donate | $86,700 raised, $150,000 goal | Our Winning North Carolina campaign splits a contribution evenly among Roy Cooper for Senate, Anita Earls for the state Supreme Court, and the NC Democratic Party and it’s ass-kicking chair, Anderson Clayton.
Winning Wisconsin - Donate | $46,500 raised, $150,000 goal - Our Winning Wisconsin campaign splits contributions evenly among David Crowley for Governor and the Wisconsin Democratic Party (and its terrific Chair Devin Remiker) and it’s legislative victory fund. Our community has invested heavily in getting helping Wisconsin Democrats flip both state legislative chambers and finally get a trifecta. Now we must finish the job!
Hopium’s Audacious Expansion Fund - Donate | $711,400 raised, $750,000 goal | Join our campaign that has helped expand our map by investing in the Democratic Parties of Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, all now central battlegrounds in the 2026 election | Contribute to all five state parties with one contribution split evenly among these five critical battlegrounds | Catch interviews with the five intrepid state chairs leading their troops into battle this year - will get you fired up!
Support The State Parties’ Election Protection Program - Donate | $109,400 raised, $100,000 new stretch goal | We’ve launched a new, targeted fundraising campaign to help get the new election protection program of the State Democratic Parties, one this community helped develop, off the ground. Friends - we have hit our goal here - thank you!
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Keep working hard all. For we have a country to save, and elections to win all across the country this November, together! - Simon
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